By Rear Admiral Ellis M. Zacharias, USN (Ret.)
The way was open to get Japan to surrender at least six months before VJ-Day. How we could have avoided the final agonies of the war in the Pacific is told here for the first time. Everybody remembers the outward signs of the Japanese collapse. After one of the costliest campaigns of the war, we had secured Okinawa on the very doorstep of Japan; then we had unleashed the awful might of the A-bomb; and finally Russia, on Japan’s other flank, had declared war on the enemy. All at once, the Japanese will to fight seemed to evaporate. But the truth is that a plan was evolved under Secretary of the Navy James Forrestal, as early as February, 1945, to bring Japan to her knees without firing a single shot. In the muddle of wartime Washington, however, the plan was blocked on every side. We had to go through the final excruciating months of fighting until the war came to an end almost of its own accord. It need never have happened that way.
We knew quite definitely by the end of 1944, as I described in the last issue of Look, that important elements in Japan were ready to sue for peace. Unmistakable information on that score had come to the Office of Naval Intelligence (ONI) through the most reliable intelligence channels. The first chance to act on the information came in February, 1945, when Secretary Forrestal returned to the United States from Iwo Jima.
I was stationed in San Diego, as chief of staff of the 11th Naval District. But as former deputy director of ONI, I had a special concern in the developing climax of the Pacific war. On December 16, 1944, I had outlined in detail a plan to conduct an intensive campaign of psychological warfare against the enemy, on the basis of the information we had on the faltering Japanese will to fight. And on Forrestal’s return, he ordered me to Washington, to aid him in formulating the kind of plan for a nonmilitary campaign that I had proposed.
My first job was to draft an Estimate of the Situation for Mr. Forrestal’s personal use, so he could better gain acceptance for the ideas we had on the highest echelons. The principal part of the estimate had to deal with the Soviet Union’s impending participation in the Pacific war. I was allowed access to top-secret decisions reached at Yalta; some of which, I was surprised to learn later, had been withheld even from War Mobilization Director James Byrnes and Vice President Truman. One such decision was the one to let Stalin have the Kurile Islands outright in exchange for Russian participation in the Pacific war.
The estimate I submitted to Forrestal was outspoken and unqualified in opposing such a step and declaring against Russia’s coming into the war. I outlined in detail the strategic significance of the Kuriles to us in a postwar world. I also depicted Russia’s probable role in postwar China, gained through easy victories in a war from which its participation was no longer needed.
Secretary Forrestal accepted my estimate in full. He did everything in his power to have our commitments to Russia canceled and to persuade our leaders to release Stalin from his “obligation” to join us in the Pacific war.
But the Pentagon thought otherwise and urged Truman to sustain the Yalta decision. And the Army’s view prevailed in the Joint Chiefs of Staff, despite a spirited defense of the Navy argument by Adm. Ernest J. King.
This upset was the start of a two-front war I had to fight for the ensuing months before the war with Japan did finally end. On the one hand, I fought the Japanese, using all means of propaganda and secret intelligence available to a man in my position. On the other hand, I fought against a Washington bureaucracy that failed to comprehend the nature of my mission and simply could not fathom the fact that wars could be waged without battleships and planes, guns and A-bombs-but in the intellectual sphere alone, by outthinking the enemy and persuading him to act according to our will.
Plan Was Two-Fold
Our plan, consistently opposed, was two-fold: Conduct an open campaign by press and radio, by leaflets and other overt media of psychological warfare, to provide the necessary arguments for members of the growing Tokyo peace party and, indeed the Emperor himself. Utilize covert or clandestine methods to gain Japanese surrender by all means of secret intelligence and secret diplomacy, with no holds barred, and enlist the active collaboration of all the secret operatives whose contributions made it possible for us to deploy our invisible forces for our campaign.
As we prepared our campaign, several forces appeared behind the scenes to co-operate with us.
One of the first such moves, proving we were on the right track, came when the Emperor of Japan asked the Holy See to intervene with us on his behalf and seek out our terms in preparation for formal peace negotiations with Pope Pius XII himself acting as intermediary.
Go-Betweens Listed
Involved in this move, besides the Pope, were Pietro Cardinal Fumasoni-Biondi, head of the Congregazione de Propaganda Fide, the Vatican’s own “intelligence service”; His Excellency, Petro Tatsuo Doi, Archbishop of Tokyo; two of the Cardinal’s representatives in Tokyo and members of a special mission of the Office of Strategic Services working in Italy on contacts developed through the Vatican.
If we still needed evidence that Tokyo was actually suing for peace, the appeal to the Vatican provided it for us. Unfortunately, nobody outside the Navy Department and the O.S.S. seemed to take the opportunity seriously. In fact the State Department discouraged it altogether and told the O.S.S. to discontinue its efforts, since American public opinion “might never approve of a peace negotiated with the help of the Roman Catholic Church.”
To strengthen our knowledge of Japanese sentiments for peace still further, Tokyo—at about this time—also called on the Russians to negotiate peace on its behalf. Here, however, the obstacle was that the Soviet never acted on the request, in fact it never advised us of the Japanese move. We had to learn about it in a roundabout way.
Our next step in the Office of Naval Intelligence was to prepare for the event predicted in a report received from a top-ranking diplomatic representative of a neutral country in Tokyo. This materialized on April 5, when Emperor Hirohito dismissed General Koiso as Premier, naming in his place Admiral Suzuki, whose job would be to explore the possibilities of ending the war. There was no time to lose.
Radio Campaign Planned
First, we planned a series of broadcast beamed directly to the Japanese High Command to provide it with reassurance that “Unconditional surrender” did not mean obliteration and to persuade the Japanese to “end the war before it was too late.” We did not know anything about the impending plan to use the A-bomb. What we tried to convey to the Japanese High Command with these words was the imminent danger of Soviet participation in the war.
But far more vital than these broadcasts, we felt, was a series of ambitious plans we developed, all converging on the same goal. Four such plans were worked out.
Plan One was a trip by submarine to “somewhere in Japan” for which Douglas Fairbanks, Jr., the well-known motion picture actor, volunteered. The purpose of the mission was to establish direct contact with a group of influential Japanese political leaders close to the Dowager Empress, who had indicated their willingness to discuss peace with us through a member of the Swedish Legation in Tokyo.
Mr. Fairbanks at the time was serving with COMINCH, at Admiral King’s headquarters in Washington. He developed the plan on his own initiative as if desirous of ending his wartime career with a particularly gallant exploit. The men around the Dowager Empress were his friends and acquaintances, and he felt certain that he could persuade them to act on our behalf, to recruit others for the plot and to carry the conspiracy to a successful conclusion.
Although prepared in minute detail and promising the results Mr. Fairbanks confidently expected, Plan One was vetoed as “fantastic” and “Buck Rogers stuff” by the men to whom it had to be submitted for approval. Mr. Fairbanks may be interested to learn now that we in Op-16-W, the psychological warfare branch of O.N.I., regarded his daring proposal as perfectly feasible and expected as much from it as he did himself. We did our best to win approval of his plan, but the obstacles that blocked it in the myopic and pessimistic Washington of 1945 were insurmountable.
Ex-Ambassador Tapped
Plan Two involved a special trip by the most prominent Japanese in our hands. He was Gen. Hiroshi Oshima, until a short time before Japan’s Ambassador to Nazi Germany, and the chief promoter of Japan’s adherence to the Rome-Berlin Axis, as well as the Nazis’ most devoted propagandist throughout the Japanese hierarchy.
We found him hiding in southern Germany and made preparations to “exploit” him. With great and difficult effort, we succeeded in persuading the Army that Oshima should be brought to the United States. When we contacted him, we found him most eager to join in our plot. Our idea was to arrange a meeting, through certain neutral agents, with Admiral Suzuki’s personal representative on a small Pacific island held by us. Oshima would have been accompanied by Lt. Dennis McEvoy, one of my young aides in Op-16-W, and I would have followed myself had my presence have become necessary in the course of the negotiations.
Gen. Oshima Disappears
Plan Two was developed in Op-16-W, and it also died right there. When its details were communicated to certain Army representatives, General Oshima was moved from our reach and could never be found again until the end of the war.
Plan Three foresaw the development of close contacts with enemy representatives through Cardinal Fumasoni-Biondi and the Vatican. Even while the plan was being developed by us, more urgent messages reached us from the Holy See, conveying to us a truly desperate plea the Emperor had just flashed to the Pope through Archbishop Doi. It was the last “S.O.S.” we ever received from Tokyo via Vatican City. Shortly afterwards the Cardinal was told that “someone in Washington” was not looking favorably at his efforts. So this plan too had to be abandoned, despite the fact that it promised greater fruits without involving ourselves in the adventures of Plans One and Two.
Plan Four was a flexible project to promote the whole complex of the Japanese peace campaign in every manner we could. It sought to use every single secret agent and follow every lead we developed anywhere in the world that promised results along the lines of our basic plan. We never received permission to execute this plan and could not persuade the other agencies of government. Better qualified than we were to carry out such a project, to take it over from us.
Thus all our plans for direct action had to be discarded. We had failed to persuade the State Department to take part in the great diplomatic campaign then developing on three continents. We had tried to gain White House approval even for more limited objectives. We were left with the series of broadcasts we had originally planned. Only this least ambitious and unorthodox of our various plans were we allowed to execute.
The series of broadcasts was to start at once. I was to address Japanese leaders in the royal family, navy and army with whom I had been on most friendly terms during former years in Washington and Tokyo. To strengthen the effect in the capacity of “official spokesman.”
Planners Seek Bombshell
We planned to begin this campaign with a bombshell, with an explicit declaration specially prepared for this broadcast by the White House, assuring the Japanese that “unconditional surrender does not mean the extermination or enslavement of the Japanese people.” This was to be our opening shot. From then on, we hoped to develop an even more realistic approach by devising means of achieving unconditional surrender.
No such statement could be obtained, despite persistent efforts at the White House. So we drafted one ourselves entitled “Statement by the President of the United States.” The draft was submitted to the White House and clearance was requested at once so that we could begin our series of broadcasts.
White House Is Cool
But we could obtain no reaction whatsoever. The whole plan seemed to be heading for the limbo of Washington projects. White House attaches answered our persistent inquiries with a stereotyped “The President is in Hyde Park. He will take up the matter with you on his return to Washington.” Then one day we heard that Mr. Roosevelt had arrived in town.
We rushed to the White House to inquire about the fate of our drafted statement. The answer this time was, “The President has just left for Warm Springs. He will take up the matter upon his return to Washington.”
The President was never to return to the capital alive. But while he was in Washington, en route from Hyde Park to Warm Springs, we learned later, he did peruse the draft and suggested one or two minor changes, though he postponed a decision on its use. He was still reluctant to “compromise” his well-known position on his unconditional surrender formula. It was in this slightly changed form, however, that the statement was eventually issued to the world by President Truman, on the day of Germany’s surrender, less than a month after Roosevelt died. From then on, the radio war with Japan was on.
After a few broadcasts, though, we began to run short of ammunition. No matter how we prodded our government to prepare a special policy for us, to grant us permission to goad the Japanese into negotiations through carefully worded invitations, we could not obtain anything even remotely resembling a policy.
We were told in so many words that no one in high places really expected the Japanese to surrender especially “not in answer to a few broadcasts by a Captain of the United States Navy–my rank at the time. We were also told that the Pacific war would last until 1946 and even 1948, and that we could make ourselves more useful by turning to tactical propaganda problems.
Peace Moves Confirmed
But then in late May, an intelligence report reached us that encouraged us to continue our work despite the cold shoulder we got in Washington. The report, confirmed in full when we occupied Japan, said the Supreme War Guidance Council, Japans highest authority, had accepted a resolution to seek ways and means to end the war.
Shortly afterwards, on June 26, an Imperial Conference was called. The Emperor ordered his advisers to prepare immediate plans to end the war on whatever terms Japan could obtain from us.
Besides that, various Japanese spokesmen approached me to inquire about the terms on which Japan could gain peace.
We pleaded with the White House, with representatives of the Joint Chiefs, with the Pentagon and the State Department to give us terms for transmission to Japan. We assured our contacts in all those agencies that Japan was seriously seeking a way out. And we urged that a new military policy be introduced: to slow down fighting to an absolute minimum and to let the diplomatic offensive take over where our soldiers, sailors and marines left off. We were turned down at all agencies and on all echelons.
So we decided on a last rebellion. In retrospect I am surprised how we dared, in the midst of war, to devise a plan and carry it out almost single-handed. But Secretary Forrestal was behind us. And with his help, the last phase of our operation began.
We decided to offer the Japanese an opportunity to surrender on the terms of the Atlantic Charter, in which the Allies had set forth their aims for self-determination by the nations of the world and against self-aggrandizement.
We realized that we were moving high up in the rarefied air of our top policy makers and that the consequences of such “insubordination” could be dangerous for all of us. But it was a calculated risk and we took it.
Set Propaganda D-Day
Our “D-Day” was set for July 21, 1945. President Truman was in Potsdam discussing with Stalin and Churchill, among other things, a declaration they themselves were to issue to the Japanese people calling on them to surrender-or else. The else of course was the atomic bomb.
We made the plunge on schedule. Without warning, without Presidential knowledge, without clearance beyond our “low level censors” in the State Department and Joint Chiefs, we announced to Japan its choice-virtual destruction and a dictated peace or “unconditional surrender with its attendant benefits as laid down in the Atlantic Charter.”
This was all I said. But the hornets nest was stirred up. The offer was featured on the front pages of the world’s newspapers. Wide speculations were printed about my role, my person, and my intentions. Then the State Department told newsmen that I had no authority to speak for the U. S. Government and that my designation as “official spokesman” was preposterous.
The controversy was still raging in Washington when Tokyo broadcast the first answer to my announcement. It was, in effect, an open invitation to begin surrender negotiations on the terms we had proposed.
It was not for me to provide the follow-up. From then on, it was for higher authorities of our government to continue my efforts and conclude, behind closed doors, negotiations leading to the cessation of hostilities.
Author’s Head Demanded
But this was not to be. In fact, my head was being demanded, especially by all those Washington circles that had steadfastly opposed our efforts. I was advised to prepare for the worst, possibly even a court-martial.
Then Forrestal came to our aid. He told Arthur Krock, Chief of the New York Times Washington bureau, that I did have the authority to make the statement I had made in the broadcast and that it did indeed reflect the President’s opinion.
Forrestal then called Potsdam and requested Presidential approval (after the fact) for our “deliberate indiscretion.” Finally he dropped everything in Washington and flew to Potsdam himself.
Our nerves were on edge as we waited word from Potsdam. Then came the Associated Press flash saying the President would stand by my reference to the Atlantic Charter.
But though we gained a victory, it was soon to be canceled out by the Potsdam Declaration and the way it was handled.
Instead of being a diplomatic instrument, transmitted through regular diplomatic channels and giving the Japanese a chance to answer, it was put on the radio as a propaganda instrument pure and simple. The whole maneuver, in fact, completely disregarded all essential psychological factors dealing with Japan.
It was drafted in the presence of the Russians as they stood poised to enter the Far Eastern war, convinced that Japan could not accept it in the time limit set. It was offered in the shadow of the A-bomb—ready to be released over a city whose population had not been forewarned as other cities to be bombed by the Air Force had been forewarned before.
The Potsdam Declaration, in short, wrecked everything we had been working for to prevent further bloodshed and insure our postwar strategic position.
Just when the Japanese were ready to capitulate, we went ahead and introduced to the world the most devastating weapon it had ever seen and, in effect, gave the go-ahead to Russia to swarm over Eastern Asia.
We know now that, without those extreme measures, Japan would have quit by September 15.
It didn’t happen that way because Washington had failed to recognize the potential value of psychological warfare and refused to support our simple plan to end the war cheaply.
Washington decided that Japan had been given it’s chance and now it was time to use the A-bomb.
I submit that it was the wrong decision. It was wrong on strategic grounds. And it was wrong on humanitarian grounds.
I contend that the A-bombing of Japan is now known to have been a mistake and that we should admit it if we are to regain our traditional position as a leader among humanitarian nations.
Moreover, in light of these facts, it should be evident even to the most skeptical among us that psychological warfare, when properly conducted and vigorously supported by those in supreme authority, is potentially the cheapest, best and most effective weapon available to us.
This was true in World War II-even though no opportunity was allowed us to prove our thesis in practice. And it is even more true today, as Communist moves in the cold war now going on throughout the world have shown.
Psychological warfare today is the weapon we most desperately need. Next time, we may not be able to muddle through.
Thanks Tim G for the story.
Speaking of nuclear weapons used on Japan and the American entry into World War II, has anyone here ever read “Infamy” by the late John Toland? Formerly known as “The Dean of American Historians?” If not by all means do so. It’s out of print and a little tough to come by, but you’ll find the narrative most revealing, and even further enlightening to the Libertarian way of thinking…The infamous Admiral King figures prominently in the ensuing intrigue, and worse, the obfuscation of the fact that US Naval Intelligence knew the Japanese attack was eminent well beforehand…It is no wonder Toland waited until late in life to disclose such an array of brutal, irrefutable facts.
There has been some interesting quasi-revisionist stuff come out here in Oz recently about the run up to Pearl Harbor and the beginning of the Pacific War. Thanks to a recent book by Australian historian Bob Wurth, it now looks as if the Australian government at the time, under Prime Minister John Curtin, with most of our army and virtually all our air force assigned to the European and Middle East theatres as part of our British Empire defence role, started to feel a little exposed at what it saw as the efforts of Churchill and Roosevelt to get a Pacific War started. So they started some backdoor contacts with Japan hoping to open up mineral trade links that would have undermined the sanctions being imposed by London and Washington. As it turns out all this was too little too late and by the time the Japanese forces made it to New Guinea, Australia had to rely on militia forces to stop them taking the overland route into Port Moresby. For more details see the web site associated with Bob Wurth’s book here.
Some of the current Australian (”neo-”)conservative government’s supporters have tried to spin this as evidence of some kind of “appeasement” or pacifist tendency on the behalf of John Curtin, a Labor prime minister and Labor generally. Presumably they consider it unpatriotic to want to prevent an attack on your country. The Australian Labor Party is generally less keen on Australian participation in global military interventions than are the conservatives, the Liberal Party. For example Labor opposed our participation in the Iraq War but supported our role supporting the US in Afghanistan as a legitimate treaty obligation. There is some residual envy I suppose from some of the more one eyed conservative partisans at John Curtin’s status as a patriotic hero. The Bob Wurth revelations, if anything, should only reinforce Curtin’s status as a patriot.
This is a fantasy.
While an explanation of how the Japanese surrender was bungled—and two nuclear devices used in lieu of diplomacy to subdue a defeated Nation is always enlightening; a more comprehensive explanation of how the December 7th attack on Pearl Harbor, that inaugurated the United States entry into WW 2, and to the status of world power and dominion, can be found in the late Historian John Toland’s 1982 effort “Infamy: Pearl Harbor and its Aftermath.” While no one embracing orthodox Libertarian convictions will be much surprised to know that the Roosevelt Administration, as well as US Naval Intelligence had prior knowledge from a myriad of reliable sources and thus ample time to prepare for what is still termed by Political Historians; or liars if you will, 64 years later as a “Surprise” Attack.” The uninitiated to the Realpolitik will find the facts set forth by Mr. Toland to be as disillusioning as they are incontrovertible, and to my mind manifestly unforgettable. Others, who may well remember him once lauded by Academics as “The Dean of American Historians” will now find him to be now largely forgotten—Just as one conditioned to such State actuated treachery might expect…In the end it is a highly informative treatise well worth reading, and further applying its detailed lessons to present, calculated events and subsequent threats we see unfolding on a daily basis in the cauldron that is The Middle East.
…I suggest reading the late John Toland’s Infamy: The Aftermath of Pearl Harbor
That which ends bad always begins bad; i.e. anyone interested in the origins of the US’s war with Japan should read John Toland’s 1982 effort Infamy: Pearl Harbor and its aftermath.
I’d recommend John Toland’s work Infamy to anyone interested what happened between The US and Japan in WW 2.
Heh. What the hell happened here?
Yes, Toland is great. See also, Day of Deceit: The Truth About FDR and Pearl Harbor.
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/0743201299?v=glance
http://www.scotthortonshow.com/index.php?tag=robert-b.-stinnett
http://www.antiwar.com/blog/2005/12/07/day-of-deceit/
Bravo!
Thanks for putting this on people’s radar screens.
—That sneakin’ sumbich from Kinky Friedman’s Texas Governor Campaign sat that shit load of Spam infested w/their political links on top my comment on Doherty’s piece on Smither & Badnarik is whut happened—Remember? Then you said: Fuck Kinky Friedman, he voted fer Bush in ‘04—Thanks fer the Spam asshole!—Then the Program went ‘n mistook me fer that low cocksucker ‘n blowed me off the bog…fer a while anyway…Bottom line? It DOES take a sneakin’ sumbitch to do go and sumthin’ like that. It’s piss poor publicity at a very high Political price. Tell ‘em if they gon’ an’ do underhanded shit like that they are not only defeatring their own purposes: But leaving themselves wide open for ridicule and that can exact a helluva lot higher toll in support than any legitimate attack. Figuratively speaking: It’s like askin’ to have a Sidewinder’s rattle attached to your ass; fer everone to see…That fuckin’ clown in a cowboy hat ain’t got chance one any goddamn way.
I’ve always wondered whether the sheer cost of the Manhattan Project may have played as much a role in the final fate of Hiroshima and Nagasaki as any overt political , diplomatic or strategic decision.
Large government projects can develop a momentum all of their own that can propel them forward. This site says it cost $20 billion (1996 dollars), compared to a ‘mere’ $24 billion cost for all small arms used by the US forces. At it’s height the Manhattan Project was an industrial enterprise larger than the US automobile industry.
Harry Truman’s main role through most of World War 2 was in heading up “The Truman Committee”, a special Congressional investigative committee that looked into waste and profiteering. Some sources say Truman’s committee was a success and saved US taxpayers as much as $11 to $15 Billion and it was Truman’s performance here that helped win him the vice presidential slot. Had Truman not used the bomb it would have been easy for his opponents to charge him with presiding over a massive ‘white elephant’. Those prosecuted by his committee would certainly have an incentive for that kind of payback.
From what I can tell the plan with the Manhattan Project was always to use the bomb, perhaps because of the costs (and risks of a misfire / no fire) no serious thought was ever given to it’s use in (say) a demonstration explosion before observers from neutral nations. Essentially if the bomb was NOT going to be used, Truman would have had to have intervened strongly to have prevented it’s use. Perhaps some concern for his image prevented him from attempting to stop the juggernaut. This may help provide a more complex motivation for Truman’s failure than just “vengeance, plain and simple” as David Henderson suggests here.
If we are speaking of vengeance, then to be just I think it is incumbent on us to include this quote in the discussion: J. Robert Oppenheimer stated after the Hiroshima and Nagasaki attacks—And the revocation of his Security clearance, that his greatest regret in life was “…that the device had not been developed in time for use against Germany.” That, was the original plan, but, as you know, the best laid plans of mice and men can and will go awry. Thus I am afraid, and will go so far as to predict that we will live to see the use of Nuclear weapons again in our lifetime…and sooner than you might think.
Speaking of Oppie, I must say I get a bit sick of some of the moral pretensions from the atomic physicists. There were plenty of military people who criticised the bomb and few even resigned their commissions in protest. It’s hard to find any of the Manhattan Project physicists actually going so far as to throw their civil service jobs in. And a lot of the protests or dissent from them is of the sort “we built it to fry germans, not japanese, that’s not fair”. Didn’t these guys have any inkling that german civilians are human too?
Apart from possible use of the bomb against an enemy fleet on the high seas (probably a ‘tactical’ mission that would have been extremely difficult, maybe even impossible, to conduct at that time) the weapon only had “strategic” or “propaganda” city-busting uses. The scientists would have known that better than anyone.
How do we account for the apparent anti-german bias among the scientists? I can only think of two explanations. Firstly, a belief they were in competition with a German bomb project, so the development of a US bomb was seen as a counter, possibly a deterrent. Although a “deterrent” is only an idle threat without the force of credibility behind it, and nothing does more for one’s credibility than an actual practical demonstration. So it would need to be used somewhere so as to establish it’s credibility. The scientists would have known that before they started working on it. Second, anti-fascist anti-nazi ideology. In other words, it’s okay to nuke german civilians because they voted for Hitler. I suspect their motivations were a bit of both and hopefully more of the former rather than the later type, although to left-liberals any crime is justifiable in the name of anti-fascism, just as any crime was justifiable in the name of anti-communism to many conservatives. The trouble is neither of these really let them off the moral hook.
In terms of the Realpolitik, Morality as we know it or have learned it, i.e. as it has been defined by consensus is the most relative of terms…and politics, even Libertarian Politics, are in the final analysis diabolic. Trouble is they are as inherent to the human personalty and thus behavior as is respiration…Go figure.